What predictive function does the location data provided by the U.S. National Phenology Network (USA-NPN) serve?

Answer

It functions as a predictive tool to project when and where high-risk egg-laying will occur.

The monitoring data collected by organizations like the U.S. National Phenology Network (USA-NPN) goes beyond merely recording where the moth has been; it is leveraged as a forward-looking, actionable tool. By observing the precise timing of the moth’s emergence across various monitoring stations—often linking this timing to accumulated degree days—researchers can create forecasts. These forecasts allow agencies to project where and when the highest risk of successful egg-laying by the adult moths will take place in a given year. This predictive capability is vital for forest managers, as it enables them to prepare proactively for the inevitable larval feeding period the following spring.

What predictive function does the location data provided by the U.S. National Phenology Network (USA-NPN) serve?

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