The folklore regarding the Woolly Bear's banding pattern is actually linked to what factor, rather than future weather?

Answer

Development stage and temperature exposure

The popular folklore suggesting that the amount of black banding on the *P. isabella* caterpillar predicts the severity of the coming winter is scientifically inaccurate. The variation in the width of the black versus reddish-brown bands is actually correlated with the caterpillar's development stage and its cumulative exposure to ambient temperature throughout its growth period. Colder temperatures during development tend to result in larvae possessing more black bristle bands, particularly at the ends, which does not serve as a meteorological forecast.

The folklore regarding the Woolly Bear's banding pattern is actually linked to what factor, rather than future weather?
insectclassificationlarvawoolly bearcaterpillar